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Economy's Reaction To Interest Rate Freeze

Economists have had time to relax after their initial outbursts of indignation following the Bank of England's interest rate freeze at 5.75 percent. The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) was pressured to follow the US and cut rates to strengthen consumer confidence in the money markets.

The BoE increased interest rates five times in the last year in response to increasing inflation. As the Consumer Prices Index of inflation falls below the official target of 2 percent, pressure builds to reduce the number of people falling into debt.

Whole of Market Mortgages

The British Retail Consortium stated their disappointment. The director general, Kevin Hawkins, said: 'Hard pressed consumers needed to see a cut in interest rates.

'There is clear evidence that disposable incomes are getting squeezed by higher living costs and the credit crunch and possibility of higher mortgage repayments is making consumers increasingly wary. As a result confidence is slipping.

'There is only one way for rates to go when the MPC meets again in a month's time and that is down. Consumers and retailers desperately need the relief.'

Economic adviser to the British Chambers of Commerce, David Kern, said: 'Given the worsening economic prospects, both UK and global, a cut today would have been justified and would have been very helpful in restoring confidence.'

Chief European Economist at Bear Stearns, David Brown, believes the cut in rates have just been temporarily postponed: 'We expect to see the Bank cut rates in November, with more rate cuts pencilled in for the first and second quarters of 2008.

'We think the Bank is targeting rates coming down to 5 percent by mid-next year.'

Published on October 23, 2007

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