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UK Debt Mountain Still Growing?

"Personal debt exceeding Britain's GDP is a worrying milestone in our buy-now-and-pay-later culture," said Martin Bamford, a personal finance adviser and author in Surrey, England. There is more debt than the value of all the goods and services produced by its economy in a year, according to accounting firm Grant Thornton.”

Personal debt in Britain is growing by $1 million every two minutes, according to Credit Action, a non-profit financial education group. This is twice the rate it grew last year. The total debt more than doubled in less than a year, and currently stands at 2.7 trillion dollars.

Households in the UK owe 166 percent of their annual disposable income, 30 percent higher than their counterparts in the United States.

However, unlike the US, consumers in the UK are using their debt to build wealth. House prices recently broke through the $600,000 mark in London. This increase is partially fuelled by foreign investors, partly by immigration, and in part, the result of $2 million bonuses handed out in the financial sector, and a consequence of investment money rolling into the city as it prepares to host the 2012 Summer Olympics.

This paints a different picture of the debt mountain, one that reflects a growing economy, unlike the US market which offered billions of dollars in mortgage money to people who could not afford a mortgage.

This did not stop the number of people declaring bankruptcy from jumping to 28 percent between June 2006 and 2007. The number of home repossessions soared 30 percent in this fiscal year.

Mortgage experts are pessimistic. Despite the recent £10 billion injection into the mortgage market by the Bank of England, mortgage rates for 230,000 to 300,000 sub-prime borrowers in the UK will increase to unaffordable levels, at least 10 per cent, before their mortgage term ends. This will force the debt mountain higher, distorting the economic forecast further.

Published on September 25, 2007

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